Background of the Study
Student loans have become a popular way for students to finance their education, especially in countries where public education is underfunded or expensive. However, the challenge of loan repayment is significant, with many students failing to repay their loans on time. This leads to financial strain on universities and a rising debt burden for students. Predictive analytics, which involves using statistical techniques and machine learning models to analyze historical data and predict future outcomes, offers a promising solution for detecting potential loan repayment defaults before they occur.
In the context of Benue State University, Makurdi, a growing number of students rely on financial aid programs such as student loans to fund their studies. However, the university faces challenges in monitoring loan repayment behavior and detecting at-risk students who may default on their payments. A predictive analytics model could help the university identify high-risk students based on historical data, such as loan repayment history, academic performance, and financial status, and intervene early to prevent defaults.
This study aims to design a predictive analytics model for detecting student loan repayment defaults at Benue State University, focusing on the factors that contribute to defaults and how they can be used to predict future repayment behavior.
Statement of the Problem
Benue State University, Makurdi, faces challenges in managing student loans, particularly in identifying students who are at risk of defaulting on their loan repayments. The lack of an early warning system means that many loan defaults are not detected until they become a serious issue. As a result, the university suffers financial losses, and students are burdened with unpaid debts. This study aims to design a predictive analytics model to help the university proactively address the issue of loan repayment defaults.
Objectives of the Study
1. To design a predictive analytics model for detecting potential student loan repayment defaults at Benue State University.
2. To identify the key factors influencing loan repayment defaults among students at the university.
3. To evaluate the accuracy and effectiveness of the predictive model in forecasting loan repayment behavior.
Research Questions
1. What are the key factors influencing student loan repayment defaults at Benue State University?
2. How effective is the predictive analytics model in detecting students at risk of loan repayment defaults?
3. What interventions can be developed based on the model’s predictions to reduce loan defaults at the university?
Research Hypotheses
1. There are specific factors (such as academic performance and financial status) that significantly influence student loan repayment defaults at Benue State University.
2. The predictive analytics model will accurately identify students at high risk of defaulting on their loans.
3. Interventions based on predictive analytics can reduce the rate of student loan defaults at Benue State University.
Significance of the Study
This study will help Benue State University develop a proactive approach to managing student loan repayments, potentially reducing default rates and improving financial sustainability. The predictive model can also be adapted by other institutions to enhance their loan management systems. The research will contribute to the growing body of knowledge on using data analytics in higher education finance.
Scope and Limitations of the Study
The study will focus on the development and evaluation of a predictive analytics model for student loan repayment defaults at Benue State University, Makurdi, located in Makurdi LGA, Benue State. It will assess the model’s effectiveness in identifying high-risk students. Limitations include potential data quality issues, such as incomplete or inaccurate student financial records, which may affect the accuracy of the predictive model.
Definitions of Terms
• Predictive Analytics: The use of data analysis techniques and machine learning algorithms to predict future events based on historical data.
• Loan Repayment Default: The failure of a borrower to repay a loan according to the agreed-upon terms.
• Financial Sustainability: The ability of an institution to manage its financial resources effectively and ensure long-term financial stability.
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